Projection : Donald J. Trump win

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Donald J. Trump stands at 57.5%, compared with Hillary Clinton 42.5% : Nate Silver‘s (FiveThirtyEight) Projection : Popular vote going 45.4% to Trump vs. 45.1% to Clinton, with the Electoral College giving Trump 285 votes and Clinton 252.6 (Trump has a 57% chance of winning the Electoral College). Trump is projected to win in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire.

via Alex Lightman

 

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Secrets: What is that one secret that you can never share with anyone?

 

I Know What You Did Last Summer : I Still Know What You Did Last Summer

Do you know what I did last summer?

Loose lips sink ships

Dead men tell no tales.

Answer by Anonymous:

That at 17 I’ve slept with dozens of men and been a masturbation addict since 12.

I was premature as I entered puberty. My first time occurred at 14. With a 28-year-old married man near my neighbourhood. I was really curious about sex, and he treated me very nicely. So when he asked me I consented. I know it was illegal to have sexual intercourse with 14-year-girl with/without consent, but it just happened.

It’s technically not a secret. One of my friend knows it. I told my mom a few years ago. And two of my therapists.

Every time I was with him I felt peaceful. The sex was good. I was old enough to enjoy. Although the first few times hurt. He was very supportive emotionally, and we both knew that it didn’t have a result. I had no intention to hurt him marriage/family. I think I was just compensating for my lack of father figure in my life. My father, though still alive, was very emotionally distant from me. In contrast, the married man had everything that I was craving for: respect, care, humour and most importantly the energy he was willing to share with me.

Often “secret” is related to shame, guiltiness, negative emotions etc. But I don’t hate any body. Not even myself. It happened as it did. Sometime I would even feel grateful for him. I don’t know if I can be here today if it wasn’t for him.

Before I met him, I was mired in the family fight. I hate school, and my parents hate me. I was always thinking about becoming a prostitute, or even better, just kill myself. I was clinically depressed and constantly anxious. Meeting him took my edge off.

He used to take me to pet market just because I mentioned casually that I want to raise hamster. He never interrupted me when I was speaking. I think our relationship was somehow similar to Lecter and Angela in American Beauty. The novel version of course, where they ended up having sex.

After I talked to one of my therapists, I decided to stop it, because she said it was wrong. After I left him, I started a crazy round of casual sex. I just randomly picked up men from dating sites and pubs. I even charged them for once or twice, for some expedient money. What makes me feel shameful, is that I don’t feel shameful about all that I’ve done at all. Somehow I just decided to forgive myself and letted go.

All sex happened with both parties’ consents, and always with protection(condoms). I tested twice a year. I didn’t want anything to do with these men so I deleted their contact immediately when it was over. It somehow released my hormones and calmed me down. For a very long time I felt like I was living a double life. Honour student on the one side, and slut on the other.

When I don’t have casual sex, I masturbate.  A lot. Sometimes for the whole afternoon or evening. Sometime the whole day. It is like drugs(though I haven’t tried that yet). It calmed me down a little bit. I’m always too edgy. Once I even masturbated the evening before SAT test.

I stopped all my casual sex after I met my ex-boyfriend. Not until we are separated physically for a while. I cheated on him. We ended up broking up for something else, and he didn’t know it. Or maybe he did. I don’t care any more. My ex-boyfriend was the only person that I’ve had a “normal” relationship with. He, like me, was in his late teens. All other people were just twenty or thirty something that I had one night stand with. He was a good boyfriend and I was a wishful girl-friend. I regret the second he consented my breaking-up proposal. But I deserve it anyway.

After I broke up with him, I felt hopeless for a long time. My masturbation addiction aggravated. I barely functioned. But I stopped all my sexual intercourse with human beings. I stopped catering to another body that I have no feeling for. I don’t know what’s wrong with me. I could find ONS at 17 if I want if I can find casual partners at 16. But I am tired of it.

I felt really old telling my story, but I also felt young and stupid. It’s life a long time ago and I’m not mad at anyone. It is what it is. I still don’t know if I made mistakes or not. For if you think about it this way, I didn’t lose anything. I always used protection, and never got involved in other people’s lives. It just made me feel really old.

It may not be that bad for me, for I was able to experience the life of a slut, and then decide for myself that I don’t want it. I considered removing anonymity, yet I am intimidated by the realisation that my acquittance(friends, teachers etc.) here on Quora may see me differently after they read this answer. I don’t fear judgement either; I just don’t want to be bothered by the consequence of it.

It is a secret that I can’t say to my future partner, and it’s a huge burden. What would my future partner think of me if he knows my history? What would my friends see me if they know it? I’m afraid of new relationships at 17 for fear of exposure. I deserve it for the stupid deeds that I committed at an early age, but I also deserve some more time. I’ll pick myself up and start fresh, despite what have happened before.

I know better now.

Secrets: What is that one secret that you can never share with anyone?

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What is Donald Trump like in person?

When you're one-to-one, or few-to-one with Mr. Trump, he comes across as a genuinely interested, well-mannered, business man. He asks how things are going in the building, if there's anything he can do or improve, and he offers to help without being asked for anything. It is the opposite of how he portrays himself in the media. He's the king of concierge. The character he portrays in the media couldn't be more different.  He's the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of business and politics.

Answer by Luke Watson:

I worked in Trump Tower for 5 years … not for Donald Trump, but within his vicinity. In all of that time, I only ran into him a handful of times, but it seems that my encounters were pretty typical of the experiences most of his tenants share.

When you're one-to-one, or few-to-one with Mr. Trump, he comes across as a genuinely interested, well-mannered, business man. He asks how things are going in the building, if there's anything he can do or improve, and he offers to help without being asked for anything. It is the opposite of how he portrays himself in the media. He's the king of concierge. The character he portrays in the media couldn't be more different.

… Or is the king of concierge the character, and TV-Trump really him? That's the billion dollar question.

Mr. Trump reminds me of the child who loves attention, but doesn't know the difference between good attention and bad attention. We all know the type; under most circumstances, that child might be a well behaved, kind, and caring, but he can turn into a monster if he realizes nobody has noticed him for 15 minutes. The key difference is that the child has plenty of time to learn, and Mr. Trump … well, he's already learned that any attention is good attention, and the American media is to blame for that one.

It isn't hard to see that much of Mr. Trump's success could easily be attributed to his disparate people-skills. If he wants to do business with you, he can win you over individually, but, if he needs to get his name out there, raise his profile, distract the media, he'll simply say something shocking, ignorant, hateful, inflammatory, ie. "newsworthy", and, he won't win us all over, but he'll reach millions of ears, win some of them over, and get attention from the rest.

He's the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of business and politics.

I have nothing bad to say about Dr. Jekyll, but don't get me started on Mr. Hyde.

What is Donald Trump like in person?

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The Great, White (Last, Best) Hope. Why didn’t the most senior men in the GOP elite-establishment move to stop Trump? The world ends, not with a bang, but a whimper.

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I
We are The Hollow Men
We are the stuffed men
Leaning together
Headpiece filled with straw. Alas!
Our dried voices, when
We whisper together
Are quiet and meaningless
As wind in dry grass
Or rats’ feet over broken glass
In our dry cellar

Shape without form, shade without colour,
Paralysed force, gesture without motion;

Those who have crossed
With direct eyes, to death’s other Kingdom
Remember us—if at all—not as lost
Violent souls, but only
As the hollow men
The stuffed men.

II
Eyes I dare not meet in dreams
In death’s dream kingdom
These do not appear:
There, the eyes are
Sunlight on a broken column
There, is a tree swinging
And voices are
In the wind’s singing
More distant and more solemn
Than a fading star.

Let me be no nearer
In death’s dream kingdom
Let me also wear
Such deliberate disguises
Rat’s coat, crowskin, crossed staves
In a field
Behaving as the wind behaves
No nearer—

Not that final meeting
In the twilight kingdom

III
This is the dead land
This is cactus land
Here the stone images
Are raised, here they receive
The supplication of a dead man’s hand
Under the twinkle of a fading star.

Is it like this
In death’s other kingdom
Waking alone
At the hour when we are
Trembling with tenderness
Lips that would kiss
Form prayers to broken stone.

IV
The eyes are not here
There are no eyes here
In this valley of dying stars
In this hollow valley
This broken jaw of our lost kingdoms

In this last of meeting places
We grope together
And avoid speech
Gathered on this beach of the tumid river

Sightless, unless
The eyes reappear
As the perpetual star
Multifoliate rose
Of death’s twilight kingdom
The hope only
Of empty men.

V
Here we go round the prickly pear
Prickly pear prickly pear
Here we go round the prickly pear
At five o’clock in the morning.

Between the idea
And the reality
Between the motion
And the act
Falls the Shadow
For Thine is the Kingdom

Between the conception
And the creation
Between the emotion
And the response
Falls the Shadow
Life is very long

Between the desire
And the spasm
Between the potency
And the existence
Between the essence
And the descent
Falls the Shadow
For Thine is the Kingdom

For Thine is
Life is
For Thine is the

This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a whimper.

T. S. Eliot

Jeffrey Goldberg on the Republican Party’s Hollow Men – The Atlantic

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Hillary Clinton officially nominated by Democratic party : All Fired Up and Ready To Go…

HIllary Clinton*_edit

Attorney Hillary Clinton : Throwing Rocks at Glass Ceilings since 1977

https://www.hillaryclinton.com

Hillary Clinton breaks the glass ceiling – POLITICO

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How do you read a stock market chart?

How do you read a stock market chart? by @sowmay_jain

Answer by Sowmay Jain:

Have you get flustered with loads of information when you turn “ON” CNBC.

I don’t about you but I’m usually blown away with the raw amount of data thrown at me.

For the average person, like you and me, there’s no channel to get stock information in simple and concise way.

There’s where chart plays a crucial role. Lots of data are compressed in stock charts. And more important, many stock market professionals bet that past chart performance of a stock can predict the future of stock. That’s why stock pundits just love graphs.

In this answer, I’m going to highlight some basics of charts that a average person should know if he has starting investing or had been investing from long time.

The best resource I use to access general charts is from “Google Search Engine”

Yeah! I don’t prefer moneycontrol or ET market or my broker’s tools. At least for basic chart.

They provide charts and the best things it’s so minimal and light weighed that even 2G network would be enough to get it right over your screen.

This is how a simple screen of Google stock charts looks like:

Best thing of this source is that every stock of every stock exchange in the world can be seen from their search engine.

It’s not having any high accessible metrics for a newbie it’s a best source.

Now with no ado, lets discuss its elements.

Blue line is the stock price movement happens through-out the day, months, years……

Straight dotted line is the price of previous close.

Upper tab is for price, price change, % change, dat……….

What? still confused! Okay, lets visualize it.

You can access price movement from different phases of time as marked in above image.

Axis information:

X – axis = Time

Y – axis = Price

Additional Information:

High – day’s high price

Low – day’s low price

Close – day’s close price

Open – day’s open price

That’s all you should know about a chart which you can easily analyse in 10 sec.

Other alternative with some extra feature would be Moneycontrol App (but it shows only Indian Stocks):

Its the best app used which is accessible from Android Smartphone.

And the extra feature I personally like to use here is its Candle stick graph which is accessible in just single tap:

And here’s the graph:

This graph shows positive/negative price trend for each hour, day, may also be week.

What? You also want to understand candle stick graph?

Phew! Here’s the image which is more than enough to understand it:

If it’s not enough to understand then this link would be to get everything about Candle stick chart – Introduction to Candlesticks.

Alternatively, you can read following books on Technical Analysis to understand it fully and deeply:

Glimpse of advance charts

Still one with deep knowledge of charts can bang the market movements and can make a good entering decisions.

Even long term investors need technical analysis to enter a stock at bargain price. And chart is also a good tool to find that bargain price.

So lets have a glimpse of advance charts…..

…….but before let me provide you a short overview which will act as a base for your chart analysis in 3 simple points (outsourced from thesimpledollar.com)

First, look at the general trend over the last six months or so. This is usually a clue as to the general health of the company – no major news, just little signs of good health or poor health. If it’s a stock you own or might be interested in, you may want to take note of a steady rise or a steady fall and find out why it’s happening.

Second, look for recent spikes. A big spike upwards or downwards means something significant has happened to the company. These are usually game changers and are definitely worth noting.

Third, see if they throw up charts for similar companies. See if the general pattern of the stock in question matches the general patterns of the competitors. If they do, then it’s probably a broad market effect or a sector effect and not quite as worrisome as something drastically different than a competitor, which you should look into.

Moneycontrol (website) provides advance charts for pro traders.

You can get it on their website. Below is the snapshot of their basic chart where you can a button to convert it to advance chart:

Which will look like this when clicked:

Now there are tons of metrics to judge the price trend but we will limit our explanation to only 3 of them:

  • Volume
  • Momentum
  • Simple Moving Average

You can see many tabs at top like Overlays, indicators etc. Volume and Momentum can be found in indicators sections.

It ticked above two metrics which will result in the following snapshot:

Now you can parallel analyse all the metrics on a single screen. In the same manner, you can use all other metrics as per choice.

Even I’m not aware of all the metrics. So only use 5–6 metrics at times.

Below is an example of SMA. After clicking on the SMA tab, you need to fill the period of moving average:

“Draw” will result in following chart:

That’s just the illustration and you can access many other parameters while analyzing stock price movement. If you’re interested in learning more about charts then Investopedia would be a great place to learn.

I’m sharing everything on my journey to Investing. I’m learning a lot, so will you.

How do you read a stock market chart?

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Who will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election and why?

Who will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election and why?

Answer by Ardavan Farahvash:

Three months ago I would have said Hillary…

And who wouldn't. With the Republican primary in a mess, and Hillary on top of Bernie Sanders, it seemed that she had a clear path to the presidency. She is the most qualified in terms of previous positions (by far), and the most experienced in terms of political tenure.

It just seems so right that a woman get the Presidency right after we elect the first black president. What a progressive moment that would be for America!

But I am not a slave to my preconceptions and based on the last 3 months I am now willing to bet my right nut it's going to be Donald Trump. Trump did better in the Republican primary than I thought he would, than anyone thought he would. Not only did Trump's campaign not fizzle out, but it has just kept gaining momentum as he won by bigger and bigger margins until Ted Cruz and John Kasich decided to stop wasting their time and drop out. Sure, the Republican party may not like him, but the Republican base does and that proved to be important. Now, as we move on to the general election, Donald Trump has a few advantages and will make a few key moves that I think will secure him the presidency, and we are already seeing him start to make said moves.

Below I have outlined the four major reasons why I think Trump is going to win the Presidency:

  1. Donald Trump is going to swing his politics, especially his economic stances to be center left. Unfortunately, Trump is not a idiot, he knows how to read the polls. He knows that for the most part Americans are on the center-left especially when it comes to economic issues. Americans like Social Security, they like minimum wage, they like taxes on the rich, hell they even like Obamacare. Trump knows this, and he has already began the process of shifting his political views so that they are in agreement with that of most Americans: Meet the Press – May 8, 2016. This is really a worst case scenario for Hillary because in the situation where Hillary and Trump are not substantially different in terms of economic policy, I do not think Hillary can win. What's worse is Hillary can't attack Trump for flip-flopping because she too has flip-flopped MANY times.
  2. Trump is infinitely more interesting than Hillary. Trump is an asshole, but he is a deeply charismatic asshole, like Bill Clinton charismatic. The guy is a professional personality, and the elephant in the room of every room he's ever been in. When you are talking about winning the presidency it all comes down to how appealing you are to most Americans. Part of your appeal is your policies and your political history, but another part (perhaps a much more important part) is your charisma. I think charisma is why Obama beat Hillary in 2008, why Bush (sort of) beat Gore in 2000, and I think it will also be a large weak spot for Hillary against Trump.
  3. Trump is a man. Look, I agree that sexism is wrong. I am also voting for Hillary in the general election. But let's face the truth, Hillary has a disadvantage in this race because of her gender, a disadvantage Trump is going to capitalize on. Let's not forget, Trump has no decency. He is going to insinuate numerous times that because Hillary is a woman she is not fit to lead, and people are going to believe it, a lot of people. He won't explicitly say that her gender makes her unfit, but he'll hint to it. For example, he might say that she's cold and callous, how that's completely unfeminine of her, and people will think that means that she is also unfit to the President.
  4. Trump's only disadvantage against Hillary are the numerous unfavorable statements he made in the Republican primary. I think Hillary's best bet at beating him is to really use his previous statements against him. This might work, but I'm willing to bet that the American people have a short enough memory that pretty soon most won't care about Trump's most egregious statements. Will Trump still make numerous distasteful remarks and insults during the general election, sure I think he most certainly will. But I think that will just play into his charisma and his outsider persona which seems to be a big plus in this election.

TLDR: No one ever went broke overestimating the stupidity of the American people and that is why I believe Donald Trump will defeat Hillary Clinton. Brace yourselves, America (and the rest of the world).

Who will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election and why?

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